Bob Stoll: Dr Bob Saturday Best Bet HPFB.init();


HuffPost's QuickRead... ShareBox.ad = function (tag_id){if ($(tag_id) == undefined) return; if ($(tag_id).innerHTML != '') return;ad_spec = {"zone_info": "huffpost.sports/blog;sports=1;nickname=bob-stoll;entry_id=765323;college-football=1;dr-bob-sports=1;iowa-state-football=1;oklahoma-football=1;sports-betting=1","ord": 1287255005,"tile": 3,"width": 300,"height": 250,"el_id": tag_id + "_js","class_name": "ad_block ad_wide top","type": "iframe"}HuffPoUtil.WEDGJE.write(ad_spec, tag_id);};Loading... BIG NEWS:Baseball|NFL|NBA|Combat Sports| Smarter Ideas| More... | LogoutLog In| Sign Up The Huffington Post October 16, 2010 Front PagePoliticsBusinessMediaEntertainmentComedySportsStyle WorldGreenTechFood TravelLiving ArtsBooks ReligionImpactEducation College NY LA Chicago Denver Blogs



Bob StollFounder, drbobsports.com
Posted: October 16, 2010 01:16 PMBIOBecome a FanGet Email AlertsBloggers' Index

function hide_user_promo_bubble_second_stage() {var bubble = $("user_promo_bubble");bubble.style.display = "none";}function hide_user_promo_bubble() {var bubble = $("user_promo_bubble");var myAnim = new YAHOO.util.Anim(bubble, {opacity: {to: 0}}, 1, YAHOO.util.Easing.easeOut);myAnim.animate();setTimeout("hide_user_promo_bubble_second_stage()", 1100);}function handle_promo_username(params) {var bubble = $("user_promo_bubble");var img = $("user_promo_bubble_image");var anchor = $("user_promo_bubble_link");if (params.has_photo == "true") {img.src = "http://images.huffingtonpost.com/profiles/" + params.user_id + "-tiny.png";} else {img.style.display = "none";Dom.addClass(anchor, "wide");}anchor.innerHTML = "Shared by " + params.user_name;anchor.href = "http://www.huffingtonpost.com/social/" + params.user_name;bubble.style.display = "block";var myAnim = new YAHOO.util.Anim(bubble, {opacity: {to: 1}}, 2, YAHOO.util.Easing.easeOut);myAnim.animate();}if (HuffPoUtil.getUrlVar("user_promo")) {YAHOO.util.Event.onDOMReady(function() {var parts = document.location.hash.split(","), shared_by = "", badge = "", i;if (parts.length Dr Bob Saturday Best Bet What's Your Reaction: HPConfig.entry_digg_promo_url = 'http://www.huffingtonpost.com/bob-stoll/dr-bob-saturday-best-bet_b_765323.html';digg facebook Twitter stumble redditdel.ico.us Inspiring
Funny
Typical
Scary
Outrageous
Amazing
Infuriating
Extreme
Read More:College Football, Dr Bob Sports, Iowa-State-Football, Oklahoma Football, Sports Betting, Sports News
Get Sports AlertsEmailComments
I won my Wednesday Best Bet on Central Florida (posted on the Huffington Post) and I also won my Thursday night Best Bet on Kansas State, who won 59-7. I'm now 20-9-1 on my College Best Bets for the season and I have 12 Best Bets on Saturday. You can get information about my weekly Best Bets at drbobsports.com. I also have free analysis on 36 College games and 10 NFL games (NFL free analysis is an incredible 38-12-1 so far this year) in my Free Analysis Section.
Here's one of my Best Bets for later in the day.
***Iowa State (+23 ½) 26 OKLAHOMA 38
Oklahoma may be undefeated and ranked 6th in the nation but the Sooners simply aren't a dominant team this season. Oklahoma has only played one really impressive game, their 47-17 win over Florida State, and they've escaped with close wins against Utah State (31-24), Air Force (27-24), Cincinnati (31-29) and against an overrated Texas team (28-20) in a game in which they were out-played 4.3 yards per play to 5.9 yppl and won because of a +2 turnover margin. For the season the Sooners are averaging just 5.1 yards per play against teams that would allow 5.1 yppl to an average team and their defense is actually worse than average in allowing 5.9 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.5 yppl against an average team. Despite worse than average yppl stats, the Sooners are actually a better than average team because they average 83 plays per game while allowing 70 plays and they have good special teams, but they are certainly not a top-10 team and I wouldn't even rank them in my top-20. Iowa State just lost 27-68 at home to a very good Utah team, but the Cyclones beat up on Texas Tech 52-38 the week before that and they are certainly not bad enough to merit a line above 21 points. In fact, Iowa State's decent offensive attack (5.2 yppl against teams that would allow 5.3 yppl to an average team) should move the ball pretty well against Oklahoma's sub-par defense and the Cyclones haven't been too bad on defense this season, allowing 6.1 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.8 yppl against an average defensive team. That's actually just 0.3 yppl worse than Oklahoma's mediocre offensive rating. Iowa State will likely be without RB Alexander Robinson this week, but Robinson's 5.1 ypr on 88 carries looks like it can be adequately replaced by Shontrelle Johnson and Jeff Woody, who combine to average 5.9 ypr on their 55 runs this season (5.3 ypr if I take out their yards against Utah's second string defense last week, which of course I do). My math model projects Oklahoma with 15 more plays than Iowa State and a 548 yards at 6.3 yppl to 391 yards at 5.5 yppl advantage, but that's not enough to justify such a high line even after accounting for Oklahoma's advantage in projected turnovers and a slight edge in special teams. In fact, my math favors Oklahoma by just 17 ½ points in this game and Iowa State's blowout loss last week sets the Cyclones up in a very good 24-0 ATS subset of a 75-16 ATS bounce-back situation that plays on big road dogs after getting embarrassed in their previous game. I'll take Iowa State in a solid 3-Star Best Bet at +21 points or more.
Follow Bob Stoll on Twitter:www.twitter.com/drbobsports
College Football More in Sports...

Michael Jordan: 'I Could Have Scored 100...

T.J. Lavin, BMX Star, In Critical Condition...

Yankees Win ALCS Game 1 After Rangers...

Justin Bieber Raps About Tom Brady's Hair... function returnCommentDetails(params) {// this is the proxy method. just proxyreturn CommentsSharer.getHoveredCommentDetails(params);};function callback_for_loaded_Badges(params) {//console.log("callback_for_loaded_Badges() called");CommentsSharer.badge_object = params.badge_object; // not actualy used, by could be usefulCommentsSharer.badge_holder_id = params.badge_holder_id; // not actualy used, by could be useful}diggstumbleredditdel.ico.usCommentsSharer.initBadgeBox("comment_share_popup"); Comments 0 Pending Comments 0 View FAQ
\ABS\Auto Blog Samurai\data\Croobert News\huffingtonpost\snn-logo-comments.png)
Login or connect with: More Login OptionsLogin with: Google Account Huffpost Account Yahoo AccountYou must be logged in to comment.Post CommentPreview CommentTo reply to a Comment: Click "Reply" at the bottom of the comment; after being approved your comment will appear directly underneath the comment you replied to.
Share your Comment:
Post to Facebook.Post to Blogger.Post to Twitter.Post to WordPress.Post to TypePad.Post to Tumblr.Post to Yahoo! View All Recency | Popularity New comments on this entry — Click to refresh

Loading comments… Loading twitter module...

Most Popular on HuffPost1D6W1lj5M6WK9G8HrrNmPrLKJrO0iQ%2BgoRqqdqgKvi64Z%2B%2BpIHi%2BtPSXzfxbN49P9HqRxqsTJY0f2%2BoLUiSmhQ%3D%3DRaZeXaf1AqpgVRyGKvq6C16VTFsR99%2FhNlAnkK7oRq4xJiYzqQr6JOxlbO7aeIMLNTvdq%2F2rev%2BFgVlkzWTUVg%3D%3D1 of 2

Whoopi, Joy Walk Off 'The View' After Heated Fight With O'Reilly
15,218 Comments

Gavin Rossdale Admits To Gay Fling
1,263 Comments

Jennifer Aniston's Camp Responds To Joan Collins' Insults
1,491 Comments

Michael P. McDonald Early Voting Off to a Fast Start in...
2,175 Comments

'Suburban Nation'
332 Comments

Bishop Gene Robinson How Religion Is Killing Our Most...
1,129 Comments

WATCH: Christine O'Donnell Stumped, Can't Name A Recent SCOTUS Decision She Disagrees With
15,269 Comments

NPR Bans Employees From Stewart, Colbert Rallies
8,189 Comments

Katherine Heigl In A Bikini (VIDEO)
167 Comments Don't Miss HuffPost Bloggers1 of 5

Bishop Gene Robinson How Religion Is Killing Our Most Vulnerable Youth

Robin Quivers Nutty for Nutrition

Rev. Jesse Jackson GOP Runs on the "Big Lie"

Dan Rather Help Not Wanted?

Bernard-Henri Lévy Sakineh’s Son Arrested: The Great Silence of Conformist Thinkers

Henry Louis Gates, Jr. Faces of America: Mehmet Oz and the Immigrant Story Pedigree

Al Gore Standing Up Against the Oil Lobby, in California and Beyond

Alec Baldwin Waiting for "Superman": A Monumentally Important Film

Melinda Gates Why We Tell Success Stories (VIDEO)

Ted Danson A Pacific Gem, ProtectedHot Trends brett favre brett favre pictures drew brees birthmark tim lincecum tj lavin crash #ad_most_pop_234x60_req_wrapper {border:1px solid #cccccc;margin-bottom:10px;padding:30px 22px 10px;background-color:#ffffff;background-image:url('/images/slug_most_popular.gif');background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:center 10px} Follow Huffington Post

HUFFPOST'S BIG NEWS PAGES

How Karzai's Afghanistan Is Like The Middle AgesBarack Obama

Consensus Points Toward 50-Seat GOP Gain in HouseGOP

As Democrats' Message Lags, GOP Awaits Huge WinsNancy Pelosi

Sun-Times: Rahm Emanuel's First Chicago InterviewRahm Emanuel

Eric Bellucci, Accused Of Stabbing Parents To Death In NY, To Be Extradited From IsraelIsrael

Clinton At UCLA To Rally Support For Brown, NewsomCalifornia Governor Race

Fox Blackout May Prevent MLB Playoff BroadcastsMLB

Tea Party Candidates Help And Hurt GOPRand Paul

Ramapo College Bans Four LokoThe Northeastmore big news pages »
Front PagePoliticsBusinessMediaEntertainmentComedySportsStyleWorldGreenTechFood Travel Living Arts Books Religion Impact Education College NY LA Chicago Denver BlogsAdvertise | Make HuffPost your Home Page | RSS | Careers | FAQ | Contact UsCopyright © 2010 HuffingtonPost.com, Inc. | User Agreement | Privacy | Comment Policy | About Us | Powered by Movable Type



HuffPost Lightbox
View the original article here
No comments:
Post a Comment